NOAA has issued a La Nina watch. There is a 71% chance that La Nina conditions will develop by November and persist through January- March 2025. La Niña is when the east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean has cooler than normal water temperatures.
We are currently in neutral conditions with near-average sea surface temperatures being observed across much of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
Forecast models suggest that when La Nina does develop it will be weak and short-lived. A weaker La Nina means that we are less likely to see the typical impacts of a La Nina winter.
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In North Texas a typical La Nina winter brings warmer and drier weather.
