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10-year Treasury yield slips as investors look to key labor data this week

NYSE

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. 

Treasury yields slipped on Monday as investors parsed the latest manufacturing data.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury slipped 1 basis point to 4.184%. Meanwhile, the 2-year Treasury yield rose 2 basis points to 4.194%. On Friday, the 10-year Treasury yield had fallen to its lowest levels since late October.

One basis point equals 0.01% and yields and prices move in opposite directions.

Investors are keenly anticipating labor data that will offer insights about the strength of the U.S. economy.  

First, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for October will be published on Wednesday and provide estimates for the number of job openings, hires, layoffs and quits.

The November jobs report will be published on Friday and is expected to show that the U.S. economy added 177,500 jobs last month, per FactSet's consensus estimate, up from 12,000 jobs in October.

Additionally, the unemployment rate is set to rise to 4.2%, up from 4.1% previously, per the FactSet estimate.

The jobs report is important for investors as it will be the last major look at the labor market before the Fed's Dec. 17-18 meeting, where it will decide on how much to cut interest rates. A strong labor report will put the Fed on the path to cut rates further.

On Monday morning, the latest ISM Manufacturing PMI indicated that the U.S. manufacturing sector improved in November, although it still remained in contraction. The ISM's manufacturing index rose to 48.4 last month, better than the Dow Jones estimate for 47.5 and 0.5 above the October reading. A PMI reading above 50% indicates an expanding manufacturing economy while below 50% suggests a decline.

Several Fed officials are expected to give speeches throughout the week, including Fed governor Christopher Waller on Monday, then Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday, which investors will monitor closely for hints about future interest rate cuts.

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